Blue Dominance?
You might say that HD and BD (Blu-ray) DVD will begin replacing today's DVD burners but according to IDC, even in 2008 when these higher capacity units are supposed to hit their stride their percentage of total sales will be only slightly more than 1%.
The same price deterioration is taking place with DVD recorders. In this area the new Toshiba Samsung Storage Technology (TSST) company makes its own pickup heads and chipsets. They are taking maximum advantage of this internal capability by making life extremely difficult for Panasonic, Philips, Sony, Pioneer and other CE players.
The HD and BD teams are warming up in the locker room determined to have their royalty based 20-30GB storage technologies replace today's cheap DVDR-based units (4.7GB single layer, 8.5GB double layer). Both are scheduled to hit the playing field at the same time - mid year. Both say it is obvious that people will step up to the higher priced burners/recorders/media because the higher capacity will be needed "when" High Def TV and video enters the market…soon.
Holographic Versatile Disc (HVD)
But almost before the first play of the game, another acronym announces it is entering the fray. Holographic Versatile Disc (HVD) has already been approved by ECMA and JEITA and the first version of the media will hold 200GB and a technology path that has already been proven to be capable of 1TB (1,000GB or 200 standard DVDs).
Present plans call for burners and media to be introduced by multiple manufacturers in the third quarter of 2005, just in time for the holiday buying season. If the past and present is any indication of the prices, you can be certain the producers will be "competitive" with Blue technologies when they hit the field.
The come-out-of-nowhere kids know they have yardage to make up if they are to win the marketshare game over the long haul. The only way most of these firms know how to do this is by what Larry Lueck of Magnetic Media Information Services (MMIS) calls achieving "profitless commodity" status as quickly as possible.
The one thing we all know for certain is that no matter how much "extra" storage capacity you give to someone, they will fill it. HVD might be the home media server storage technology of choice next year for all of your photos, music, videos and time-shift TV programs. That or a nice little DVD library that costs a few hundred dollars and holds 200 very inexpensive DVDR discs you can randomly search.
Interesting options. But next we'll look at the DRM issue which will really determine how quickly the world safely (without being sued) implements all or any of this...
You might say that HD and BD (Blu-ray) DVD will begin replacing today's DVD burners but according to IDC, even in 2008 when these higher capacity units are supposed to hit their stride their percentage of total sales will be only slightly more than 1%.
The same price deterioration is taking place with DVD recorders. In this area the new Toshiba Samsung Storage Technology (TSST) company makes its own pickup heads and chipsets. They are taking maximum advantage of this internal capability by making life extremely difficult for Panasonic, Philips, Sony, Pioneer and other CE players.
The HD and BD teams are warming up in the locker room determined to have their royalty based 20-30GB storage technologies replace today's cheap DVDR-based units (4.7GB single layer, 8.5GB double layer). Both are scheduled to hit the playing field at the same time - mid year. Both say it is obvious that people will step up to the higher priced burners/recorders/media because the higher capacity will be needed "when" High Def TV and video enters the market…soon.
Holographic Versatile Disc (HVD)
But almost before the first play of the game, another acronym announces it is entering the fray. Holographic Versatile Disc (HVD) has already been approved by ECMA and JEITA and the first version of the media will hold 200GB and a technology path that has already been proven to be capable of 1TB (1,000GB or 200 standard DVDs).
Present plans call for burners and media to be introduced by multiple manufacturers in the third quarter of 2005, just in time for the holiday buying season. If the past and present is any indication of the prices, you can be certain the producers will be "competitive" with Blue technologies when they hit the field.
The come-out-of-nowhere kids know they have yardage to make up if they are to win the marketshare game over the long haul. The only way most of these firms know how to do this is by what Larry Lueck of Magnetic Media Information Services (MMIS) calls achieving "profitless commodity" status as quickly as possible.
The one thing we all know for certain is that no matter how much "extra" storage capacity you give to someone, they will fill it. HVD might be the home media server storage technology of choice next year for all of your photos, music, videos and time-shift TV programs. That or a nice little DVD library that costs a few hundred dollars and holds 200 very inexpensive DVDR discs you can randomly search.
Interesting options. But next we'll look at the DRM issue which will really determine how quickly the world safely (without being sued) implements all or any of this...
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